Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Illescas		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.06	3.15	4.02
	2.07	2.88	4.03
	1.9	3.04	4.05
	2.03	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	3.93 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
46.2%

Draw
30.4%

UD San Fernando
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

27.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Illescas - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Illescas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Fernando is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Illescas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Illescas	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Illescas - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	Getafe B - Illescas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWW
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL

Illescas - UD San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide