Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.5
	1.95	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4.04
	1.98	3.1	4.04
	2	3.06	3.64
	1.96	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.38)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	3.79 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
46.4%

Draw
29.5%

Montijo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montijo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montijo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montijo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montijo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Fernando will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	UD San Fernando - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Adarve - Montijo	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Montijo - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Montijo - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.01.22	Montijo - UD San Fernando	2:0
12.09.21	UD San Fernando - Montijo	1:2

UD San Fernando - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide