Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Llerenense		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.41	3.03	3.07
	2.33	3.07	3.17
	2.3	3.04	2.97
	2.32	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.93)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.94 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
38.5%

Draw
30.3%

UD San Fernando
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llerenense's form might have worsened.

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llerenense - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Llerenense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llerenense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Llerenense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Llerenense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Llerenense - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Llerenense - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
15.10.23	Llerenense - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	UD San Fernando - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Llerenense - UD San Fernando

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Llerenense - UD San Fernando Predictions

Preview

Form

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