Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 20

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Grulla Morioka		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.3	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.42	3.3	2.09
	3.4	3.28	2.04	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.4	3.28	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.68)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
27.4%

Draw
28.1%

Sagamihara
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.4%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Sagamihara aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 18. Miyaichi T. 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 16. Ryu S. 4. Fukagawa D. 17. Niizato R. 30. Adachi S. 15. Kagami T. 9. Tokura K. 10. Otabor K.	1. Miura M. (G) 2. Kato D. 55. Tashiro M. 4. Yamashita R. 8. Hashimoto R. 6. Tokunaga Y. 16. Takano R. 47. Iwakami Y. 20. Wakabayashi R. 14. Takagi A. 17. Ito K.
Substitutes
21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 13. Kogure D. 14. Matsubara K. 3. Saito R. 19. Sato M. 23. Toyoda K.	40. Hasegawa Y. 7. Kinjo J. T. 66. Kuribara I. J. 24. Makiyama K. 39. Senuma Y. 21. Takeshige A. (G) 48. Ueda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Wakabayashi R. 🟨,
43', Yamato Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adachi S. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Ito K. ⚽,
62', Ito K. ↓, Senuma Y. ↑,
62', Iwakami Y. ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
68', Tokura K. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
68', Kagami T. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
75', Ryu S. 🟨,
80', Miyaichi T. ↓, Toyoda K. ↑,
80', Takagi A. ↓, Kuribara I. J. ↑,
82', Otabor K. ↓, Kogure D. ↑,
90+4', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,
90+4', Tashiro M. ↓, Kinjo J. T. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sagamihara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sagamihara have a series of guest games.

Sagamihara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
29.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro	3:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
29.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Imabari - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	3:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.24	Nara Club - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.06.24	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	2:1
26.11.23	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	0:0
08.04.23	Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara	1:1
17.11.20	Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara	1:1
25.07.20	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	0:1

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