Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 16

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	4.75
	1.66	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.51	4.88
	1.7	3.51	4.89
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.65	3.52	4.86	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.45 ↓ (3.67)	4.76 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
54.5%

Draw
26.4%

Grulla Morioka
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

21.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kataller Toyama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 26. Nabeta A. 30. Osako A. 25. Yasumitsu S. 15. Nascimento G. 16. Sueki H. 28. Fuseya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S.	1. Okubo T. (G) 6. Takahashi S. 25. Yamato Y. 3. Saito R. 16. Ryu S. 4. Fukagawa D. 17. Niizato R. 14. Matsubara K. 15. Kagami T. 9. Tokura K. 10. Otabor K.
Substitutes
19. Inoue N. 18. Ito T. 24. Kawai Y. 11. Matsumoto K. 8. Matsuoka D. 31. Saito K. (G) 17. Tsubokawa H.	30. Adachi S. 51. Fukatsu K. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 13. Kogure D. 18. Miyaichi T. 23. Toyoda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Ryu S. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Yoshihira T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Otabor K. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
54', Tokura K. ↓, Toyoda K. ↑,
54', Matsubara K. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
56', Fukagawa D. 🟨,
61', Fukagawa D. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Takahashi Y. ⚽,
68', Nascimento G. ↓, Kawai Y. ↑,
71', Takahashi Y. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
71', Usui S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
77', Yoshihira T. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
77', Sueki H. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Fuseya S. ⚽,
85', Yamato Y. ↓, Fukatsu K. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
22.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	2:3 ✺
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLT
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
22.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro	3:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.06.24	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Grulla Morioka - YSCC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
26.08.23	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	0:2
17.06.23	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	1:2
27.11.21	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	1:0
03.07.21	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	1:0
18.10.20	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	0:1
19.07.20	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	1:4

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