Match Info

J2 League - Round 28

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3.2	2.82
	2.5	3.32	2.97
	2.45	3.38	2.73	Watch
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.38	3.41	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	2.83 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
39.2%

Draw
28.3%

Iwaki
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Imabari - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Iwaki will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Imabari: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Iwaki (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Imabari will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Imabari (votes: 3 - 60%). Iwaki (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tachikawa K. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 5. Danilo Cardoso 4. Ichihara R. 37. Umeki R. 6. Kajiura Y. 14. Yuba K. 41. Yasui T. 20. Vinicius Diniz 36. Yokoyama Y. 10. Marcus Vinicius	23. Sasaki M. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 32. Igarashi S. 8. Shibata S. 27. Yamanaka A. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 38. Kumata N. 28. Kim Hyun-woo
Substitutes
15. Abe R. 13. Fujioka K. 3. Fukumori N. 9. Kondo T. 50. Mikado Y. 33. Sasa S. 71. Takagiwa T. (G) 11. Tanque W. 7. Yamada T.	39. Joo H. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 20. Kato Y. 19. Onishi Y. 5. Shirai H. 17. Yamada Y. 14. Yamaguchi D.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Fukaminato S. ⚽, Dohana K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yasui T. ↓, Fujioka K. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Igarashi S. ⚽, Kim Hyun-woo (A),
59', Takeuchi Y. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
59', Umeki R. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
63', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Yamaguchi D. ↑,
63', Yamanaka A. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
70', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Tanque W. ↑,
73', Dohana K. ↓, Shirai H. ↑,
80', Kajiura Y. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
81', Kumata N. 🟨,
86', Shibata S. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
86', Ishida Y. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Imabari has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Iwaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Imabari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Imabari - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Iwaki - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
23.08.25	Blaublitz Akita - Imabari	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Imabari - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Oita Trinita - Imabari	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Imabari - Ehime	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
23.08.25	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	JEF United Chiba - Iwaki	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Iwaki - Imabari	0:1
Japan J3 League
18.09.22	Imabari - Iwaki	1:0
17.04.22	Iwaki - Imabari	0:1

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