Match Info

J2 League - Round 23

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.32	3.7	2.13
				Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	3.17	3.58	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.55)	3.5 ↓ (3.59)	2.08 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
29.6%

Draw
26.2%

V-Varen Nagasaki
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

26%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Iwaki - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 4. Dohana K. 17. Yamada Y. 2. Ishida Y. 8. Shibata S. 32. Igarashi S. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 25. Unoki F. 38. Kumata N. 28. Kim Hyun-woo	21. Goto M. (G) 48. Teruyama H. 29. Arai I. 44. Egawa Y. 23. Yoneda S. 5. Yamaguchi H. 6. Abe T. 17. Takahata K. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 9. Juanma Delgado
Substitutes
22. Ikoma J. 39. Joo H. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 20. Kato Y. 13. Murakami H. 19. Onishi Y. 6. Sakagishi K. 30. Shota K.	16. Emerson Deocleciano 31. Harada G. (G) 11. Junio E. 33. Kasayanagi T. 25. Kushibiki K. 34. Matsumoto T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 24. Yamada R. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Takagi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Egawa Y. 🟨,
37', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Unoki F. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
58', Abe T. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
67', Sawada T. ↓, Emerson Deocleciano ↑,
67', Yoneda S. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Kim Hyun-woo ⚽, Kase N. (A),
76', Takahata K. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
78', Juanma Delgado ↓, Junio E. ↑,
78', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Kato T. ↑,
83', Shibata S. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
84', Kumata N. ↓, Ikoma J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Yamaguchi H. ⚽, Kasayanagi T. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Iwaki have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

V-Varen Nagasaki is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

V-Varen Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
05.07.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Iwaki - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
05.07.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	3:3 ✺
31.05.25	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki	3:4
15.09.24	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
26.06.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki	3:1
06.08.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki	0:0
29.04.23	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1

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