The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JEF United Chiba 41.9%
Draw 28.2%
Iwaki 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
27.5%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
28.7%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
15.4%
7.7%
JEF United Chiba - Iwaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Iwaki will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - JEF United (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Iwaki (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Iwaki (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 28. Kawano T. 15. Mae T. 42. Issaka Z. 25. Yasui T. 5. Kobayashi Y. 14. Tsubaki N. 39. Mori K. 10. Yokoyama A.
23. Sasaki M. (G) 4. Dohana K. 5. Shirai H. 2. Ishida Y. 32. Igarashi S. 8. Shibata S. 27. Yamanaka A. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 38. Kumata N. 28. Kim Hyun-woo
Substitutes
29. Carlinhos 6. Eduardo 9. Goya H. 67. Hidaka M. 27. Iwai T. 13. Suzuki D. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 11. Yonekura K.
35. Fukaminato S. 39. Joo H. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 13. Murakami H. 19. Onishi Y. 17. Yamada Y. 14. Yamaguchi D.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.
Tamura Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Shibata S. ⚽, Ishiwatari N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yamanaka A. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
46', Yasui T. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
46', Yokoyama A. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
49', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
55', Goya H. 🟨,
67', Shirai H. ↓, Fukaminato S. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Tsubaki N. ⚽, Issaka Z. (A),
71', Mae T. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
71', Shibata S. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
71', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Yamaguchi D. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Hidaka M. ⚽,
81', Mori K. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Fukaminato S. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
86', Tsubaki N. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
88', Ishida Y. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 14).
JEF United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Iwaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
JEF United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Japan
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Suarez J. (G) 
Takahashi I. 
Kim Hyun-woo 
Carlinhos 
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