The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imbabura 30.4%
Draw 29.3%
Deportivo Macará 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
29.1%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
28.9%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imbabura's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imbabura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Imbabura - Deportivo Macará Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Macará will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Valero M. (G) 4. Medina A. 2. Coronel G. 6. Benitez J. 26. Santacruz A. 8. Caicedo R. 10. Espinoza T. 20. Arteaga M. 7. Pantoja L. 9. Paz F. 29. Pita J.
1. Correa C. (G) 50. Angulo C. 2. Barbieri G. 14. Marrufo J. 31. Mina G. 70. Morales J. 15. Romero E. 5. Alvarez L. 11. Valdez J. 28. Perea M. 7. Escobar J.
Substitutes
34. Alcivar J. 3. Cabeza E. 5. Cevallos G. 13. Chala M. 15. Chavez R. 18. Folleco W. 90. Minda P. (G) 33. Rendon G. 70. Villamil A.
44. Bravo D. 4. Jimenez J. 18. Lora R. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 10. Mina F. 25. Porozo D. 6. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 12. Villafuerte J. (G)
Coaches
Armas J.
Pallares A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Santacruz A. 🟨,
17', Caicedo R. 🟨,
42', Romero E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Valdez J. ⚽, Angulo C. (A),
54', Paz F. 🟨,
56', Armas J. 🟨,
57', Perea M. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
59', Alvarez L. 🟨,
65', Pita J. ↓, Presentado F. ↑,
65', Pantoja L. 🟨,
69', Caicedo R. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
73', Escobar J. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
73', Angulo C. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
76', Correa C. 🟨,
85', Paz F. ↓, Burbano D. ↑,
90+5', Arteaga M. 🟨,
90+7', Morales J. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
90+7', Valdez J. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 6).
Recent matches Imbabura is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Macará is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Imbabura won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Imbabura won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Watch
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Valero M. (G) 
Coronel G. 
Arteaga M. 
Paz F. 
Marrufo J. 
Romero E. 
Pallares A. 
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