Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Imbabura		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.78
	1.77	3.14	5.24	Watch
	2.04	3.04	3.58	Watch
	1.96	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 (1.96)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	3.98 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
47.4%

Draw
29.3%

Cumbayá
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

22.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imbabura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cumbayá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Imbabura - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', 🟥,

Preview

Imbabura has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cumbayá is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Imbabura is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Imbabura won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	0:3 ✺
28.08.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Leones del Norte - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
06.08.25	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.09.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	4:1 ✺
26.08.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	1:3 ✺
30.07.25	Guayaquil City - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
25.06.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:1
15.04.25	Cumbayá - Imbabura	2:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.24	Cumbayá - Imbabura	1:2
23.03.24	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0

Imbabura - Cumbayá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide