Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.6	2.95	2.05
	3.74	2.84	2.09
	3.72	2.94	2.08
	3.66	2.96	2.05
	3.6	2.95	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.17)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
25.1%

Draw
30.9%

Lusitano GC
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Moncarapachense - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.11.24	Serpa - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Moncarapachense - Moura	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Covilhã - Moncarapachense	3:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Amora - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Moncarapachense - Lagoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.11.24	Lusitano GC - Estrela Vendas Novas	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Lusitano GC - Estoril Praia	1:0 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Lusitano GC - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.03.24	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	0:0
05.11.23	Moncarapachense - Lusitano GC	0:0

Upcoming Matches