Match Info

K League 2 - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Gimpo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.15
	1.9	3.44	4.52
	1.84	3.36	4.39	Watch
	1.79	3.5	4.42	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	4.3 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Incheon United
50.9%

Draw
27.3%

Gimpo
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

27.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Gimpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimpo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Incheon United - Gimpo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 3. Lee Sang-Gi 4. Kim Gun-Hee 20. Delbridge H. 32. Lee Ju-Yong (C) 11. Gerso 28. Kim Geon-Ung 88. Jung Won-Jin 14. Barrow M. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho	31. Son Jeong-Hyeon (G) 3. Park Kyung-Rok 77. Chapman C. 5. Lee Chan-hyung 7. Lee Sang-Min 98. Kim M. 50. Park Dong-Jin 23. Choi Jae-Hun (C) 11. Yoon Jae-Woon 10. Pllana L. 47. Jo Seong-Jun
Substitutes
27. Kim Bo-Sub 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 17. Kim Seong-Min 25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 15. Lim Hyeong-Jin 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho	8. Djalma 32. Jang Bu-seong 17. Jegal Jae-Min 99. Kim Gyeol 2. Kim Jong-Min 29. Kim Min-Woo 21. Yoon Bo-Sang (G)
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Ko Jeong-un

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Jo Seong-Jun 🟨,
43', Park Kyung-Rok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kim M. ↓, Djalma ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Park Dong-Jin ⚽,
56', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Park Dong-Jin ⚽, Yoon Jae-Woon (A),
68', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
68', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
75', Park Dong-Jin ↓, Kim Gyeol ↑,
75', Jo Seong-Jun ↓, Jegal Jae-Min ↑,
75', Choi Jae-Hun 🟨,
82', Kim Seong-Min 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Mugosa S. ⚽,
90+2', Lee Chan-hyung ↓, Kim Jong-Min ↑,
90+2', Pllana L. ↓, Kim Min-Woo ↑,
90+6', Delbridge H. ↓, Lim Hyeong-Jin ↑,
90+7', Gerso ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Incheon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimpo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Incheon is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Incheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:4 ✺
07.09.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Incheon United - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Cheongju - Incheon United	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTWL
- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.25	Gyeongnam - Gimpo	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Gimpo - Cheonan City	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Gimpo - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Seoul E-Land - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Gimpo - Suwon Bluewings	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
29.06.25	Gimpo - Incheon United	1:1
04.05.25	Incheon United - Gimpo	3:0

Upcoming Matches