Match Info

K League 1 - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Bucheon		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.38	Watch
				Watch
	3	2.92	2.38
	3.34	3.05	2.5
	3.2	3.09	2.34	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.38	3	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.62)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	2.38 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
29.3%

Draw
31.4%

Incheon United
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

29.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Incheon United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Incheon United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Bucheon - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim H. (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu (C) 20. Hong Sung-Wook 7. Thiaguinho Santos 16. Kim Sang-Jun 23. Takahashi K. 77. Shin Jae-Won 11. Galego 9. Montano J. 13. Kim Min-Jun	21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 20. Park Kyung-sub 2. Ibiza 27. Yeo Seung-Won 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 15. Seo Jae-Min 72. Lee Chung-Yong 9. Mugosa S. 99. Ferrier M.
Substitutes
26. An Tae-Hyun 22. Han Ji-Ho 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 93. Lee J. 5. Lee S. 19. Seong S. 27. Uh Dam 63. Vitor Gabriel 8. Yoon Bit-Garam	13. Choi Seung-gu 23. Jeong Chi-In 1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 4. Kim Gun-Hee 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 32. Lee Ju-Yong 7. Oh H. 19. Park Ho-Min 8. Undabarrena I.
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Jeong Ho-Jin 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Ferrier M. ⚽, Kim Myung-soon (A),
22', 0 - 2, Gerso ⚽,
45', Ferrier M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kim Myung-soon ↓, Lee Ju-Yong ↑,
58', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Jeong Chi-In ↑,
58', Ferrier M. ↓, Lee Dong-Ryul ↑,
59', Kim Min-Jun ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
61', Vitor Gabriel 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Shin Jae-Won ⚽, Montano J. (A),
79', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, Han Ji-Ho ↑,
79', Takahashi K. ↓, Seong S. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Vitor Gabriel ⚽, Galego (A),
83', 🟨,
88', Shin Jae-Won ↓, An Tae-Hyun ↑,
89', Gerso ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
90+1', Mugosa S. ↓, Oh H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Incheon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42
11	Bucheon FC 1995 ✔	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
11.04.26	Gwangju - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jeju - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Bucheon - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bucheon - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTTL
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
11.04.26	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Anyang - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
07.09.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:0
08.06.25	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:0
26.04.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:3
South Korean Cup
29.04.15	Incheon United - Bucheon	2:0

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