Match Info

K League 2 - Round 29

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Cheonan Stadium (Cheonan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Cheonan City		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.63
	4.65	3.55	1.68
	5.09	3.87	1.7
	4.56	3.36	1.81	Watch
	4.87	3.7	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (4.78)	3.6 ↓ (3.84)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheonan City
19.6%

Draw
25.7%

Incheon United
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

24%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.2%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Cheonan City - Incheon United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Heo Ja-Woong (G) 25. Ma Sang-Hoon 35. Kim Seong-Ju 4. Kang Y. 24. Lee Sang-myung 20. Ha Jae-min 16. Kim Sung-Joon 26. Kim Y. 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 18. Lee Jeong-Hyeop 10. Toungara A. (C)	1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 88. Jung Won-Jin 14. Barrow M. 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho
Substitutes
83. Bruno Paraiba 21. Je J. (G) 88. Jung Seok-Hwa 8. Lee Kwang-Jin 7. Lee Sang-Jun 37. Park Joon-kang 45. Sato M.	20. Delbridge H. 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 17. Kim Seong-Min 25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 3. Lee Sang-Gi 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho
Coaches
Sung-Yong Jo	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
27', 0 - 1, Park Ho-Min ⚽, Shin Jin-Ho (A),
28', Kim Myung-Sun ↓, Lee Sang-Gi ↑,
28', 0 - 2, Park Ho-Min ⚽,
31', 0 - 3, Shin Jin-Ho ⚽, Gerso (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Kim Sung-Joon ↓, Lee Kwang-Jin ↑,
46', Ha Jae-min ↓, Jung Seok-Hwa ↑,
52', Park Ho-Min ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
52', Shin Jin-Ho ↓, Park Seung-Ho ↑,
58', Lee Ji-Hoon ↓, Lee Sang-Jun ↑,
59', 0 - 4, Mugosa S. ⚽, Lee Ju-Yong (A),
62', Kim Seong-Ju ↓, Park Joon-kang ↑,
69', 1 - 4, Toungara A. ⚽,
70', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Kim Do-Hyeok ↑,
72', Lee Jeong-Hyeop ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
74', Lee Myoung-Joo 🟨,
84', Gerso ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
86', 2 - 4, Kim Geon-Ung (Own goal),
89', Ma Sang-Hoon ↓, Sato M. ↑,
90+10', 3 - 4, Bruno Paraiba (Pen),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Incheon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheonan City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Cheonan City - the odds 4.78 are the expected chance of winning is 19.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
07.09.25	Gimpo - Cheonan City	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Cheonan City - Seoul E-Land	2:5 ✺
23.08.25	Bucheon - Cheonan City	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheonan City	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTLW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
07.09.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Incheon United - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Cheongju - Incheon United	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Busan I Park - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
01.06.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:3
19.04.25	Incheon United - Cheonan City	3:0
South Korean Cup
24.06.15	Cheonan City - Incheon United	0:1

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