Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 10

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Independente de Limeira		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	5.32	3.39	1.59
	5.66	3.58	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (4.09)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independente de Limeira
16.4%

Draw
25.8%

XV de Jaú
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independente de Limeira's form might have worsened.

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting XV de Jaú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independente de Limeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for XV de Jaú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Independente is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

XV de Jaú is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match XV de Jaú is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
02.03.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Independente de Limeira	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Jabaquara - Independente de Limeira	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Independente de Limeira - Taquaritinga	2:3 ✺
21.02.24	America SP - Independente de Limeira	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Independente de Limeira - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLTT
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
02.03.24	Taquaritinga - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	XV de Jaú - SKA Brasil	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	VOCEM - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	Jabaquara - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	XV de Jaú - Penapolense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTWW

Independente de Limeira - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide