Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.95	4.5	Watch
	1.98	2.95	4.65	Watch
	2.02	3	4.87
	2.38	3.00	3.28	Watch
	1.92	2.99	4.73	Watch
	2.36	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.45)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	4.23 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
45.4%

Draw
32.1%

Rosario Central
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

32.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

33.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Independiente - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Independiente (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 75%). Rosario (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 47. Perez M. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 7. Montiel S. 10. Cabral L. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G.	1. Broun J. (G) 24. Gimenez E. 6. Komar J. 46. Ovando I. 33. Elordi J. M. 31. Navarro F. 10. Malcorra I. 21. Lopez S. 18. Lo Celso F. 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E.
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 39. de Irastorza J. 6. Freire N. 8. Galdames P. 49. Laprida A. 23. Marcone I. 37. Medina J. 55. Palais J. 25. Pussetto I. 28. Taborda E. 27. Tarzia D. 4. Vera F.	34. Beltran S. 26. Cantizano G. 27. Duarte G. 7. Lovera M. 44. Modica A. 30. O'Connor T. 39. Oviedo F. 47. Raffin L. 41. Rios L. 42. Veron E. 37. Vicente M. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Zabala F. (A),
45', Godoy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
46', Lo Celso F. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
63', Campaz J. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
64', Avalos G. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
64', Cabral L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
64', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
70', Godoy L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
74', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
75', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
75', Copetti E. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
75', Navarro F. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
83', Duarte G. 🟨,
90', Zabala F. 🟨,
90+3', Galdames P. 🟨,
90+5', Komar J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.

There will not play in Independiente: Marcone I. (Inactive) Mazzantti W. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Knee Injury) Ibarra F. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Independiente: Valdez S. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.11.25	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Independiente - Platense	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	San Martín de San Juan - Independiente	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Independiente - Lanús	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.11.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	1:3 ✺
24.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Rosario Central - Platense	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:0
17.08.24	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.02.24	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0
19.09.23	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.23	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:0
16.07.22	Independiente - Rosario Central	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.04.22	Rosario Central - Independiente	3:0

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