The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 28.1%
Draw 33.6%
Independiente 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
33.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
32.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Independiente aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
58.3%
25%
San Martín de San Juan - Independiente Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (C) 30. Diarte L. 29. Lecanda T. 16. Portillo A. 6. Recalde L. 21. Watson N. 49. Gonzalez D. 27. Fernandez T. 10. Gonzalez S. 8. Tijanovich H. 11. Maestro I.
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M. 8. Galdames P. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 10. Cabral L. 17. Mazzantti W. 25. Pussetto I. 19. Abaldo M.
Substitutes
32. Anselmo F. 34. Barrera S. 2. Caseres R. 15. Cavallaro J. 22. Jaurena S. 37. Menendez J. 4. Molina A. 39. Orihuela M. 14. Pablo Garcia 18. Salle S. 25. Toloza F. 13. Velazco M. (G)
9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 6. Freire N. 29. Godoy L. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 14. Millan L. 32. Paredes F. 47. Perez M. 28. Taborda E. 27. Tarzia D. 22. Zabala F.
Coaches
Romagnoli L.
Quinteros G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Galdames P. (Pen),
15', Valenzuela M. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
37', Pussetto I. 🟨,
43', Recalde L. 🟨,
45', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
45+1', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
46', Maestro I. ↓, Barrera S. ↑,
46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
47', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Fernandez T. ⚽, Cavallaro J. (A),
62', Fernandez T. 🟨,
70', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
71', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
77', Galdames P. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
78', Fernandez T. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
87', Gonzalez D. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
90+1', Tijanovich H. ↓, Caseres R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N.
(Injury)
Toloza F.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Independiente: Freire N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Loyola F.
(International duty)
Montiel S.
(Red Card)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de San Juan - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Borgogno M. (C) 
Galdames P. 
Rodrigo Fernandez 
Avalos G. 
Quinteros G. 
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