Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	10:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Belarus	03:30	Okko Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	21:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	20:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Georgia	04:30	Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 2
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 1
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Kosovo	02:30	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	08:30	Mola
Mexico	18:30	Disney+
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Peru	19:30	Disney+
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV2
Serbia	02:30	Arena Premium 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South
Spain	02:30	LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, DSports 1, Inter
International	00:30	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	7	Watch
	1.63	3.7	5.25
	1.58	3.55	5.9	Watch
	1.6	3.72	6.64
	1.69	3.00	6.93	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5	Watch
	1.63	3.68	6	Watch
	1.78	3.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)	6.01 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
57.5%

Draw
26.8%

Universidad de Chile
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

29.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

29.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Independiente - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 5. Loyola F. 7. Montiel S. 10. Cabral L. 14. Millan L. 9. Avalos G.	25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 17. Hormazabal F. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 19. Altamirano J. 16. Sepulveda M. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 10. Assadi L. 18. Di Yorio L.
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 39. de Irastorza J. 8. Galdames P. 29. Godoy L. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 17. Mazzantti W. 37. Medina J. 32. Paredes F. 25. Pussetto I. 27. Tarzia D. 53. Viollaz S.	27. Contreras R. 21. Diaz M. 9. Fernandez L. 6. Fernandez N. 12. Garrido P. (G) 11. Guerra N. 34. Moya F. 13. Retamal D. 14. Rodriguez S. 15. Salomoni F. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Assadi L. ⚽, Di Yorio L. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Montiel S. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
46', Castellon G. ↓, Toselli C. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Independiente has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Universidad de Chile has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.

Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of home games.

In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.25	Independiente - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.08.25	Belgrano - Independiente	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Audax Italiano	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Unión Española	4:1 ✺
04.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
28.07.25	Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.08.25	Universidad de Chile - Independiente	1:0

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