Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Action 24
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Independiente		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.6	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	3	2.95	2.55	Watch
	3.12	3.1	2.58
	3.00	2.87	2.62	Watch
	2.9	3	2.5
	3.02	3.08	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)	2.99 ↓ (3.16)	2.55 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
31.4%

Draw
31.6%

River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	14.8%	77.8%

Independiente - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 7.9%). River Plate will win (votes: 62 - 81.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 72.9% – 90.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - River Plate (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - River Plate (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 6. Freire N. 22. Zabala F. 5. Loyola F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 10. Cabral L. 17. Mazzantti W. 19. Abaldo M. 7. Montiel S.	1. Armani F. (G) 4. Montiel G. 6. Pezzella G. 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 39. Lencina S. 22. Castano K. 24. Perez E. 23. Galarza M. 11. Colidio F. 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 8. Galdames P. 29. Godoy L. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 14. Millan L. 32. Paredes F. 25. Pussetto I. 27. Tarzia D. 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M.	14. Boselli S. 16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 27. Dadin B. 26. Fernandez N. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 25. Ledesma C. (G) 18. Martinez P. 47. Meza J. 10. Quintero J. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Galarza M. 🟨,
23', Zabala F. 🟨,
26', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
43', Pezzella G. ↓, Boselli S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perez E. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
46', Lencina S. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
62', Loyola F. 🟨,
66', Mazzantti W. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
75', Cabral L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
75', Abaldo M. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
77', Galarza M. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
78', Rivero L. 🟨,
80', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
88', Godoy L. 🟨,
88', Colidio F. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
90+9', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.

Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Independiente: Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Meza M. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in River Plate: Salas M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Copa Argentina
01.08.25	Belgrano - Independiente	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTW
- River Plate
Copa Argentina
02.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.25	River Plate - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Instituto Córdoba - River Plate	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	River Plate - Platense	3:1 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
25.06.25	Inter Milan - River Plate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.25	River Plate - Independiente	2:0
01.09.24	Independiente - River Plate	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Independiente - River Plate	1:1
25.10.23	River Plate - Independiente	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.04.23	River Plate - Independiente	2:0
07.08.22	Independiente - River Plate	0:1
05.09.21	River Plate - Independiente	1:1

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