Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 26

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Independiente Asuncion		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.1	1.95
	3.93	3.11	2
	3.21	3.17	2.23	Watch
	3.53	3.18	2.03
	3.45	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.26)	3.17 ↓ (3.4)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
26%

Draw
29%

Rubio Ñu
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.9%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26.3%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubio Ñu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubio Ñu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Villagra C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Caballero E. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 0.

Independiente FBC is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rubio Ñu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rubio Ñu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente FBC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.08.25	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLL
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fernando de la Mora - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Encarnación	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	12 de Junio - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.06.25	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	3:0
29.08.24	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:1
09.10.23	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:2
30.06.23	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	2:2
19.09.22	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	1:0
13.06.22	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:1
16.08.21	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0

Upcoming Matches