Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Raul Orlando Lungarzo (Chivilcoy)


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Atlético Escobar

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.90	3.60
	1.98	2.92	3.65
	1.93	2.96	3.68
	1.99	3.07	3.85	Watch
	1.89	2.9	3.6
	1.95	2.97	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.43)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	3.71 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
45.7%

Draw
30.2%

Atlético Escobar
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.

Atlético Escobar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Escobar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Escobar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Acuna L. 8. Funes F. 4. Gimenez R. 7. Hernandez Castro T. J. 11. Perez F. 5. Ramirez U. 9. Retamozo L. 10. Rodriguez L. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.	1. Salamanca C. (G) 5. Aguirre E. 4. Barreto N. 3. Cupolo N. 8. Lara A. 11. Nunez L. 2. Paniagua H. 7. Piersigilli S. 10. Portillo T. A. 6. Rodriguez M. 9. Villalba R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Hernandez Castro T. J. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Escobar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ind Chivilcoy has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Chivilcoy against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Tucuman Central	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTWT
- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.26	Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	El Linqueño - Atlético Escobar	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tucuman Central - Atlético Escobar	2:3 ✺
12.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0
22.03.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar	2:1

Independiente Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide