Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Juventud Unida Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.68	3	5.25
				Watch
	1.68	3.18	6.1
	1.68	3.18	6.1
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.65	3.1	5.8
	1.7	3.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.87)	3.09 ↑ (3.01)	5.53 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
53.9%

Draw
29.6%

Juventud Unida Universitario
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

32.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.

Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Independiente Chivilcoy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Juventud Unida Universitario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Chivilcoy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Chivilcoy is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.10.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
18.09.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTL
- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.10.23	Huracán Las Heras - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - San Martín de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.07.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0
17.04.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:0
29.09.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1
03.07.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1

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