Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.7
	2.05	3.1	3.35
	2.03	2.75	3.9
	2.06	2.62	4.1
	2.1	2.58	4.25
	2.08	2.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.15)	2.78 ↑ (2.65)	3.9 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
44%

Draw
32.7%

Sol de Mayo
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

34.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

33.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Independiente Chivilcoy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sol de Mayo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Chivilcoy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente Chivilcoy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.10.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:4 ✺
11.09.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Cipolletti - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWT
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.10.22	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sol de Mayo	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Sol de Mayo - Deportivo Camioneros	2:0 ✺
21.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Desamparados - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.07.22	Sol de Mayo - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0
16.10.21	Sol de Mayo - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0
18.07.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sol de Mayo	2:0

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sol de Mayo