Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.62	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.36	5.82
	1.66	3.36	5.82
	1.53	3.75	6.5
	1.59	3.4	5.6
	1.59	3.35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	3.4 ↓ (3.73)	5.79 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
57.2%

Draw
27%

Independiente Chivilcoy
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

24.3%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpo Bahia Blanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Olimpo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Olimpo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Independiente Chivilcoy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpo is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Olimpo to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.11.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Cipolletti - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - CA Liniers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWTW
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.11.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.10.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1
01.10.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1
22.06.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0
31.10.21	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1
01.08.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1

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