Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Sportivo Peñarol

	1	X	2
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.92	2.8	4.3
	2.07	2.8	3.7
	2.21	2.35	4.39
	2.07	2.92	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.69)	2.73 ↓ (3.3)	3.97 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
44.1%

Draw
33.1%

Sportivo Peñarol
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-4%)

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Independiente Chivilcoy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sportivo Peñarol is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente Chivilcoy is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Chivilcoy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.07.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
24.07.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
20.07.22	CA Liniers - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTLWW
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2 ✺
24.07.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
20.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1
08.08.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1
11.04.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Peñarol

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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