Match Info

Date: 31 July 2022, Sunday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.45	2.65	2.25
	3.15	2.85	2.25
	3.49	2.61	2.27
	3.42	2.95	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
27.2%

Draw
32.4%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

31.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

31.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Sportivo Peñarol - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Sportivo Peñarol is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olimpo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.07.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
20.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
03.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.07.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Ferro Gen.Pico	3:1 ✺
20.07.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - CA Liniers	3:1 ✺
10.07.22	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
03.07.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.04.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sportivo Peñarol	5:0
17.10.21	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sportivo Peñarol	0:2
18.07.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:3
08.03.20	Sportivo Peñarol - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:0
13.10.19	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1

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