The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 35.9%
Draw 31.3%
Atlético Bucaramanga 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.9%
30.2%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
30.4%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
42.9%
0%
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ichazo S. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 23. Palacios M. 4. Mantilla K. 3. Balanta M. 13. Chaverra F. 8. Serna A. 16. Loboa H. 31. Moreno D. 9. Larrosa E. 19. Fydriszewski F. (C)
1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 2. Mena J. (C) 4. Garcia J. 8. Hinestroza F. 21. Charrupi F. 6. Charrupi G. 7. Londono K. 15. Batalla E. 14. Mosquera J. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
25. Chaux E. (G) 28. Davila A. 5. Escorcia L. 18. Fabra F. 17. Mancilla G. 6. Moreno D. 24. Ortiz J. 30. Palacios H. 27. Urrutia J.
28. Flores L. 13. Medina G. 3. Rea M. 23. Romana C. 11. Salazar J. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 20. Zarate A.
Coaches
Restrepo A.
Alvarez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Balanta M. 🟨,
32', Larrosa E. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Batalla E. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Batalla E. ⚽, Gutierrez A. (A),
38', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
45+1', Londono K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mantilla K. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Chaverra F. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Mosquera J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
63', Loboa H. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
63', Balanta M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
70', Londono K. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
72', Chaverra F. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
72', Moreno D. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
80', Charrupi G. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
80', Batalla E. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
89', Moreno D. 🟨,
90+4', Romana C. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
Ind Medellín is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bucaramanga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 1.8:0.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Bucaramanga
13
6
7
0
22:12
10
25
7
Ind. Medellin
14
7
2
5
21:19
2
23
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Medellín - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.