Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Liverpool Montevideo		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.58	2.88	2.92	Watch
	2.65	2.99	2.98
	2.64	3.05	2.76	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.67	3	3	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)	3.02 ↓ (3.31)	2.87 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
36.2%

Draw
31.1%

Independiente Medellín
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	77.8%	22.2%

Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Liverpool (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 3. Strasorier S. 15. Laquidain S. 23. Castillo E. 5. Garayalde N. 20. Rabunal M. (C) 34. Lewis K. 7. Martinez F. 31. Barcelo F. 9. Machado R.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 4. Mantilla K. 24. Ortiz J. 26. Mena Perea E. 16. Loboa H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 13. Chaverra F. 7. Berrio L. 19. Fydriszewski F. 20. Montano J.
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 32. Barrenechea F. 11. Bentancourt R. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 28. Castillo J. 10. Degregorio R. M. 19. de Luca A. 17. de Mello G. 8. Mir M. 29. Olivera E. 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D.	3. Balanta M. 25. Chaux E. (G) 28. Davila A. 18. Fabra F. 9. Larrosa E. 17. Mancilla G. 15. Maturana L. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 8. Serna A.
Coaches
Ferrin G.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Restrepo A. 🟥,
45+1', Ortiz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lewis K. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
49', Castillo E. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
55', Barcelo F. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
55', Martinez F. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
60', Montano J. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
60', Mena Perea E. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Strasorier S. ⚽, Romero D. (A),
70', Garayalde N. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
73', Chaverra F. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
82', Laquidain S. 🟨,
82', Larrosa E. 🟨,
86', Machado R. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Palacios H. ⚽, Fabra F. (A),

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ET ✺
07.11.25	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
14.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLTT

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