Match Info

COLOMBIA: LIGA WOMEN - ROUND 11

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday


	Independiente Medellín		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	11.5
	1.18	5.5	12
	1.22	5.76	11.03
	1.19	6.1	12.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)	5.72 ↑ (4.59)	11.76 ↑ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
76.3%

Draw
16%

Deportes Tolima
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.9%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

13.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-30.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Recent matches Independiente Medellín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportes Tolima has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Independiente Medellín is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
16.04.23	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	4:2 ✺
06.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL
- Deportes Tolima Women
Colombian Liga Women
14.04.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Huila	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	1:4 ✺
21.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
13.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2

Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide