Match Info

Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)


	Independiente Santa Fe		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.85
	1.65	3.51	4.86
	1.66	3.5	4.91	Watch
	1.67	3.2	4.75
	1.66	3.42	4.84
	1.93	2.88	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.97)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	4.59 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
53%

Draw
27.3%

Independiente Medellín
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez W. (G) 18. Viso Y. 4. Perez A. (C) 2. Carvajal M. 3. Motta C. 16. Hernandez K. 19. Huertas G. 17. Garavito D. 24. Marcano T. 11. Silva M. 7. Zamorano M.	1. Garcia L. (G) 5. Torres M. 25. Cardona M. 13. Doria Y. 19. Agudelo E. 7. Hurtado M. 6. Alvarez S. (C) 10. Gonzalez A. 4. Correa M. 16. Hernandez E. 11. Castillo V.
Substitutes
5. Baldallo M. 15. Cardona B. 10. Diaz I. 12. Gonzalez A. (G) 9. Graterol F. 8. Ortegon J. 25. Posada S. 33. Tovar L. 21. Valbuena K.	12. Candanoza V. (G) 23. Largo E. 18. Munera M. 3. Ramirez V. 14. Rangel N. 9. Rojas V. 8. Toledo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5.

Santa Fe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ind Medellín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santa Fe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe Women
Colombian Liga Women
11.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTWW
- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
10.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
06.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
29.06.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	3:1
22.06.24	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
27.04.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:0
06.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:1
14.03.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:0
05.12.20	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	1:1

Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide