Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Independiente Medellín		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6
	1.62	3.85	5.75
	1.53	3.65	5.8
	1.58	3.87	6.19
	1.53	3.5	6
	1.56	3.88	6.3	Watch
	1.54	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	3.73 ↓ (3.94)	6.04 ↓ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
59.8%

Draw
24.9%

Deportes Magallanes
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Independiente Medellín - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
11.03.23	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.03.23	Independiente Medellín - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
26.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWW
- Deportes Magallanes
Copa Libertadores
08.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
05.03.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.23	Always Ready - Deportes Magallanes	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.02.23	Deportes Magallanes - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Deportes Magallanes - Always Ready	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Independiente Medellín	1:1

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