The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 42%
Draw 29.8%
Deportivo Pereira 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
29.4%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
35.7%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Independiente Medellín will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Medellín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.