The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 60.5%
Draw 24.5%
Independiente Medellín 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
24.1%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
23.5%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Millonarios - Independiente Medellín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gamboa D. (G) 13. Leal M. 17. Tamayo L. 15. Calvo L. 2. Viafara F. 4. Bolano L. 11. Salazar L. (C) 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 25. Olaya R. 27. Valencia K. 79. Restrepo K.
12. Candanoza V. (G) 25. Cardona M. 5. Torres M. 15. Tangarife V. 18. Munera M. 6. Alvarez S. (C) 19. Agudelo E. 4. Correa M. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Ramirez V. 7. Hurtado M.
Substitutes
18. Amado I. 3. Arboleda L. 14. Carabali E. 7. Celis D. 99. Garrido E. 16. Gomez L. 22. Rodriguez J. (G) 9. Sanchez I.
21. Arias K. 11. Castillo V. 13. Doria Y. 1. Garcia L. (G) 17. Patino S. 2. Sastoque M. 8. Toledo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Olaya R. ⚽, Bolano L. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Restrepo K. ⚽, Calvo L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Castillo V. ↑,
46', Tangarife V. ↓, Sastoque M. ↑,
46', Ramirez V. ↓, Doria Y. ↑,
64', Salazar L. 🟨,
64', Hurtado M. ↓, Toledo M. ↑,
69', Castaneda Vanegas A. J. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
69', Valencia K. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
77', Bolano L. ↓, Celis D. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Salazar L. ⚽,
82', Sastoque M. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
83', Restrepo K. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
83', Tamayo L. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Arias K. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
Millonarios is Qualified for Liga Women (Promotion Group )
Millonarios is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Watch
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Gamboa D. (G) 
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