The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Petroleros 71.6%
Draw 15.1%
GVCD San José 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.2%
19.6%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
18.6%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vera J. (G) 5. Palma L. 77. Zamora R. 28. Soleto W. 30. Montano Hilton J. 15. Bejarano J. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 93. Willie (C) 6. Rojas D. 7. Cardozo R. 91. Alvarez G.
25. Rivas R. (C) 17. Quispe E. 20. Aguilar F. 36. Justiniano G. 21. Valdez S. 8. Orihuela R. 29. Galindo S. 14. Calero D. 10. Ferrufino R. 37. Cruz Valverde L. R. 30. Zeballos L.
Substitutes
82. Claros D. 19. Cristaldo G. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 8. Guttierrez J. 99. Jeferson Carioca 34. Mendoza G. 13. Montenegro L. 68. Morales D. 40. Morales L. (G) 50. Roni Santos 26. Sanchez K.
6. Ajhuacho N. 13. Arauz G. (G) 32. Mendieta F. 31. Pavisic A. 18. Pinto S. 3. Reyes R. 39. Teran Z. 16. Tumiri E. 19. Villarroel S.
Coaches
Grass J.
Costa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Alvarez G. ⚽, Willie (A),
38', Galindo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rocabado Concha R. E. ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
68', Bejarano J. ↓, Grass P. ↑,
68', Cardozo R. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
69', Ferrufino R. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Palma L. 🟨,
71', Valdez S. 🟨,
74', Cruz Valverde L. R. ↓, Pinto S. ↑,
90', Calero D. ↓, Ajhuacho N. ↑,
90+1', Zeballos L. 🟨,
Preview
Ind Petroleros is Qualified for Copa Pacena (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
Ind Petroleros has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
GVCD San José has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Ind Petroleros as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ind Petroleros has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Petroleros against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).