Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Globoplay, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Nacional Potosí		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.2	Watch
	2.17	3.39	3.4
	2.15	3.45	3.19	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.18	3.44	3.42	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)	3.35 ↓ (3.41)	3.28 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
43.6%

Draw
27.9%

Botafogo RJ
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Nacional Potosí - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 64.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Nacional Potosí (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Potosí will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 7. Solis M. 13. Otormin L. 18. Azogue P. 10. Nunez M. 19. Alvarez W. (C) 99. Villalba D.	24. Leo Linck (G) 2. Vitinho 15. Bastos 20. Barboza A. 4. Ponte M. 14. Barrera J. 28. Newton 55. Wallace Davi 13. Alex Telles (C) 11. Matheus Martins 10. Montoro A.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor C. 3. Amarilla N. 1. Arauz E. (G) 2. Avila R. 14. Guerra J. 22. Hoyos D. 30. Martinez Y. 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 28. Pena S. 11. Rojas J. 9. Tobar T.	48. Arthur Novaes 7. Artur 37. Barria K. 80. Bernardo Valim 36. Gabriel Abdias 42. Kadu Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 64. Marquinhos 16. Nathan Fernandes 22. Neto (G) 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 3. Ythallo
Coaches
Eguez L.	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ponte M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
46', Otormin L. ↓, Hoyos D. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Baldomar O. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
57', Wallace Davi ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
57', Matheus Martins ↓, Barria K. ↑,
65', Villalba D. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
71', Barrera J. 🟨,
76', Barrera J. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
76', Solis M. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
82', Torrico A. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
89', Newton 🟨,
90', Montoro A. ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
90', Ponte M. ↓, Ythallo ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Nacional Potosí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nacional Potosí is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.94%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
08.02.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Potosí	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.12.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
18.12.25	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLWLW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.02.26	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Grêmio - Botafogo RJ	5:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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