Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	6
	1.63	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.35	6.1
	1.62	3.4	5.4
	1.69	3.42	6.11
	1.62	3.2	5.8
	1.64	3.38	5.35
	1.64	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.53)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	5.73 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
56.6%

Draw
27.3%

Alvarado
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

26.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

25.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	37.5%	18.7%

Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 31).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Independiente Rivadavia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente Rivadavia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.09.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	4:1 ✺
12.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
04.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Temperley	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Deportivo Flandria - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTTW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.09.22	Alvarado - Quilmes	3:0 ✺
11.09.22	Deportivo Maipú - Alvarado	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Club Almagro - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.01.21	Alvarado - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0
14.03.20	Alvarado - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3
22.09.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	✺
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.11.26	Alvarado - Sportivo Las Parejas	✺

Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado