The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 56.6%
Draw 27.3%
Alvarado 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
26.3%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
26%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
37.5%
18.7%
Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 19.5% โ 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 31).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Independiente Rivadavia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Independiente Rivadavia is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.