Match Info

Date: 11 April 2022, Monday


	Defensores de Belgrano		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.87	2.5	Watch
	3	2.8	2.45
	2.88	2.75	2.6
	3.05	2.8	2.42
	3.23	2.81	2.64
	3.1	2.75	2.4
	2.99	2.92	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
30%

Draw
32.9%

Quilmes
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

32.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

33.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	48.1%	22.2%

Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Quilmes will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Defensores de Belgrano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Quilmes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
28.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LTWWW
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.22	Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán	2:2 ✺
28.03.22	Tristán Suárez - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
23.03.22	Quilmes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
18.03.22	Instituto Córdoba - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Quilmes - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.01.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	0:1
15.02.20	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	2:0
26.08.19	Quilmes - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0
12.11.18	Quilmes - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2

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