Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Rivadavia		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.95
	2.6	2.8	2.8
	2.47	2.8	2.95
	2.6	2.88	3.2
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	2.49	2.88	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.57)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)	3 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
36.7%

Draw
32.7%

Deportivo Morón
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

24.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Independiente Rivadavia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.21	Güemes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
22.08.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
08.08.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
01.08.21	San Telmo - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWTL
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.08.21	Deportivo Morón - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
23.08.21	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0 ✺
07.08.21	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
01.08.21	Deportivo Morón - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.21	Deportivo Morón - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
10.11.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Morón	2:1
17.02.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Morón	1:1
16.02.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Morón	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	✺
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	Deportivo Morón - Ciudad de Bolívar	✺

Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Morón