Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	2.05
	4	3	1.98
	3.95	2.85	2.02
	3.85	2.95	1.98
	4.48	3.06	2.02
	3.9	2.88	2
	4.4	2.88	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.63)	2.95 ↑ (2.94)	2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
22.3%

Draw
31.4%

Independiente Rivadavia
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

32.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

31.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Independiente R will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 0.

Santamarina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente Rivadavia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Rivadavia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.05.22	Quilmes - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
09.05.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
02.05.22	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
23.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Guillermo Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	3:2 ✺
30.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	2:3 ✺
23.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1
05.04.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Santamarina de Tandil	3:1
26.11.18	Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
30.04.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0
05.05.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1
08.10.16	Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
07.05.16	Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0

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