Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Tigre		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.28	3.12	3.65
	2.21	3.08	3.64	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.22	2.91	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.11)	3.59 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
42.4%

Draw
31.4%

Independiente Rivadavia
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 42. Arias R. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 5. Leyes B. 28. Martinez P. 22. Lopez S. 30. Elias J. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.	30. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 19. Atencio R. 34. Moreyra S. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S. (C)
Substitutes
3. Banegas N. 33. Cabrera E. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 21. Medina S. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 23. Pineiro G. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.	9. Arce A. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 17. Dadin B. 3. Elordi J. M. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 13. Osella A. 20. Riep A. 11. Rios G. 32. Vazquez K. A. 40. Villalba I.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Moreyra S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Elias J. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
63', Moreyra S. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
66', Sartori F. 🟨,
69', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
69', Martinez P. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
69', Fernandez M. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
79', Lopez S. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
79', Arias R. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
79', Leyes B. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
80', Bonifacio E. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
81', Atencio R. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Bucca L. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
88', Russo I. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Tigre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Independiente R's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tigre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Lezcano S. (Inactive) Moreno V. (Knee Injury) Saralegui J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigre - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Independiente Rivadavia - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.03.26	Banfield - Tigre	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Barracas Central - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTTL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
05.09.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
15.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre	1:4
09.12.24	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2

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