Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 12

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium, TV Publica
Usa	FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.63	3.5	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.4
	2.55	2.6	3.5	Watch
	2.61	2.61	3.71
	2.58	2.57	3.66	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.25
	2.58	2.6	3.59	Watch
	2.55	2.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.16)	2.64 ↓ (3)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
37.3%

Draw
35.8%

Platense
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

31.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Independiente Rivadavia - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Platense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Centurion E. (G) 2. Bianchi B. 14. Gomez L. 5. Burgos E. 16. Ostchega T. 17. Rios L. 8. Ham E. 22. Villa S. 26. Romero F. (C) 39. Romero F. 40. Villalba I.	31. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Barros Schelotto B. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Suso G. (C) 18. Marcich S. 7. Mainero G. 8. Juarez F. 14. Picco L. 29. Minerva F. 21. Gomez I. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
29. Abecasis L. 10. Alves G. 31. Asenjo M. 32. Marinelli G. (G) 25. Milo F. 6. Mulet A. 7. Ramis V. 28. Rios G. 41. Ruiz M. 9. Sanguina J. 3. Segovia I. 24. Sequeira L.	11. Baldassarra F. 20. Hachen G. 33. Lotti A. 77. Martinez R. 10. Ocampo A. 2. Pignani J. 27. Quiroga A. 23. Rivero B. 24. Salomon O. 32. Sumavil N. (G) 35. Tucker M. 5. Villalba C.
Coaches
Cicotello M.	Gomez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Barros Schelotto B. (A),
36', Villalba I. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
40', Ostchega T. 🟨,
42', Gomez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Romero F. 🟨,
61', Ham E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
61', Rios L. ↓, Alves G. ↑,
66', Minerva F. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
67', Juarez F. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
77', Villa S. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
77', Romero F. ↓, Asenjo M. ↑,
80', Gomez I. ↓, Pignani J. ↑,
87', Pellegrino M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
87', Mainero G. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Martinez R. ⚽, Lotti A. (A),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 21).

Recent matches Independiente Rivadavia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Platense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Rivadavia will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Independiente Rivadavia: Castro F. (Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. (Injury) Lozano R. (Injury) Rius C. (Injury) Saborido J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Newells Old Boys - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWT
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.24	Platense - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Instituto Córdoba - Platense	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Platense - Banfield	0:1 ✺
29.07.24	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:3 ✺
25.07.24	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLWL

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