Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.88	3.3	3.75
	1.9	3.2	4.2
	1.92	3.4	4.34
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.92	3.42	4.1
	1.88	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.21)	3.37 ↑ (3.22)	4.06 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
49.4%

Draw
27.6%

Ferro Carril Oeste
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferro Carril Oeste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferro Carril Oeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Independiente Rivadavia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Rivadavia	3:3 ✺
27.03.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTLL
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
10.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.03.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
10.09.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	6:0
02.05.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2
15.02.20	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
24.08.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:2
24.03.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1
24.11.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0

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