The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 35.9%
Draw 32.5%
San Martín de San Juan 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
31.6%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
31.9%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de San Juan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.5%
27.3%
21.2%
Independiente Rivadavia - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). San Martín will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 34.4% – 68.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1.
Independiente Rivadavia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches San Martín is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Independiente Rivadavia will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
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