Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)


	San Martín de San Juan		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	1.96	3	4.5	Watch
	2	2.98	3.95
	2.04	3.07	4.36
	2.02	3.01	4.24	Watch
	2	2.88	4
	1.96	2.9	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.23)	2.97 ↑ (2.79)	4.19 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
46.6%

Draw
31.3%

Quilmes
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

33.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

35%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Quilmes (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Aguilera E. 6. Cocca M. 3. Zuliani H. 8. Hachen G. 5. Pelaitay N. 7. Jaurena S. 10. Gonzalez S. 9. Funez N. 11. Iachetti N.	1. Canadell J. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Kippes A. 6. Recalde L. 3. Ortega T. 8. Martinez R. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Luna R. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
16. Acosta G. 17. Aguero L. 18. Juncos B. 19. Lattanzio C. 14. Monje L. 15. Nadalin F. 13. Osores M. 20. Rossi G. 12. Velazco M. (G)	19. Barreto J. 14. Bindella A. 18. Fernandez M. 17. Ortega A. 16. Postigo J. 13. Rasso I. 85. Rodriguez M. 20. Spetale A. 15. Yangali J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Zuliani H. ⚽, Jaurena S. (A),
43', Ortega T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Murillo F. ↓, Nadalin F. ↑,
46', Luna R. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
46', Ortega T. ↓, Bindella A. ↑,
46', Batista A. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
60', Iachetti N. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
65', Jaurena S. ↓, Aguero L. ↑,
69', Dominguez A. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
70', Aguilera E. 🟨,
73', Aguilera E. ↓, Osores M. ↑,
73', Pelaitay N. ↓, Monje L. ↑,
84', Martinez R. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, San Martín is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	San Martín de San Juan - Racing de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTTT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Temperley - Quilmes	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	San Telmo - Quilmes	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Club Almagro - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.08.24	Quilmes - San Martín de San Juan	0:1
15.03.24	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	0:3
04.06.22	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.05.17	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	1:0
02.10.15	Quilmes - San Martín de San Juan	2:0
06.04.13	Quilmes - San Martín de San Juan	0:0
23.09.12	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	4:0

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