Match Info

3. Liga - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Osnabrück		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.55
	1.88	4.13	3.64
	1.65	3.96	4.59	Watch
	1.83	3.56	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.7)	3.76 ↓ (3.95)	3.79 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
50.9%

Draw
24.6%

Ingolstadt
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Osnabrück - Ingolstadt Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ingolstadt (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 50%). Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jonsson L. (G) 27. Fabinski R. 24. Muller J. 25. Wiemann N. 31. Kammerbauer P. 15. Jacobsen B. 19. Wiethaup K. 13. Schumacher K. 29. Kopacz D. 18. Kehl L. 11. Meissner R.	25. Eisele K. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 32. Lorenz S. 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 14. Plath M. 22. Costly M. 8. Carlsen F. 17. Besuschkow M. 10. Kaygin D. 24. Christensen G.
Substitutes
37. Badjie I. 14. Ihorst L. 20. Janotta T. 4. Karademir Y. 23. Lesueur T. 10. Proger K. 22. Riesselmann B. 1. Sauter N. (G) 26. Wagner F.	3. Decker E. 30. Drakulic O. 34. Frode L. 5. Gul E. 2. Hoppe M. 47. Klein D. (G) 29. Kugel J. 33. Sekulovic D. 7. Sturm Y.
Coaches
Schultz T.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Kehl L. 🟨,
44', Kopacz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Deichmann Y. ↓, Hoppe M. ↑,
62', Kopacz D. ↓, Badjie I. ↑,
64', Wiethaup K. ↓, Wagner F. ↑,
77', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
77', Kaygin D. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
79', Wagner F. 🟨,
80', Christensen G. 🟨,
85', Kehl L. ↓, Riesselmann B. ↑,
85', Schumacher K. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
86', Muller J. ↓, Janotta T. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Badjie I. ⚽, Meissner R. (A),
90', Badjie I. 🟨,
90', Costly M. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
90', Carlsen F. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3.

Osnabrück is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ingolstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Osnabrück is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Osnabrück won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
Club Friendly
15.11.25	Bochum - Osnabrück	1:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Energie Cottbus - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Osnabrück - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Schweinfurt - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Osnabrück - Hoffenheim II	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.04.25	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	1:0
24.11.24	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	4:2
12.02.23	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	1:4
10.08.22	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	0:1
30.05.21	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	3:1
27.05.21	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	3:0
Club Friendly
10.01.18	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	1:0

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