Match Info

Date: 1 August 2022, Monday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event


	Ingolstadt		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.83
	4.2	3.75	1.78
	3.9	3.7	1.84
	4.32	3.85	1.8
	4	3.7	1.85
	3.98	3.98	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.94)	3.8 ↑ (3.62)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
23%

Draw
24.9%

Darmstadt
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

26%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.8%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.3%	9.1%	60.6%

Ingolstadt - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Darmstadt is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
23.07.22	Ingolstadt - Bayreuth	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Ingolstadt - Rain am Lech	2:2 ✺
06.07.22	Greuther Fürth - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
30.06.22	Lugano - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
22.06.22	Ingolstadt - Pipinsried	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
22.07.22	Darmstadt - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	Jahn Regensburg - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Darmstadt - Bayreuth	4:1 ✺
28.06.22	Darmstadt - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
24.06.22	Viktoria Griesheim - Darmstadt	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.01.22	Ingolstadt - Darmstadt	0:2
15.08.21	Darmstadt - Ingolstadt	6:1
12.05.19	Ingolstadt - Darmstadt	3:0
08.12.18	Darmstadt - Ingolstadt	1:1
10.03.18	Darmstadt - Ingolstadt	1:1
29.09.17	Ingolstadt - Darmstadt	3:0
German Bundesliga
09.04.17	Ingolstadt - Darmstadt	3:2

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