Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 9
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 9
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 9
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.75
	4.2	4	1.72	Watch
	4.35	4.21	1.78
	4.24	4.15	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.75	Watch
	4.29	4.05	1.75	Watch
	4.2	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (4.06)	4.04 ↑ (4.01)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
22.4%

Draw
23.4%

Darmstadt
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

23.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

23.5%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Jahn Regensburg - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 5. Bulic R. 16. Breunig L. 33. Proger K. 8. Geipl A. 10. Viet C. 3. Hein B. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 9. Hottmann E. 29. Huth E.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Forster P. 16. Muller A. 17. Klefisch K. 8. Marseiler L. 34. Corredor K. 9. Hornby F.
Substitutes
4. Ballas F. 25. Bauer J. 13. Bittroff A. 20. Ganaus N. 38. Kharabara V. 36. Kieffer B. 27. Kother D. 40. Ouro-Tagba M. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G)	30. Brunst A. (G) 3. Bueno G. 47. El Idrissi O. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M. 42. Torsiello F. 29. Vilhelmsson O.
Coaches
Patz A.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Hornby F. 🟨,
44', Vukotic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Ziegele R. ↓, Ballas F. ↑,
57', Muller A. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
63', Huth E. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Proger K. ⚽,
66', Corredor K. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,
66', Marseiler L. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
70', Huth E. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
81', Lopez S. ↓, Thiede M. ↑,
81', Nurnberger F. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Ganaus N. ⚽,
90+2', Ganaus N. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Klefisch K. ⚽, Lakenmacher F. (A),
90+4', Proger K. 🟨,
90+5', Proger K. ↓, Kieffer B. ↑,
90+5', Geipl A. ↓, Bittroff A. ↑,
90+6', Gebhardt F. 🟨,
90+7', Kieffer B. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 2.

Regensburg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Darmstadt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Darmstadt is a favorite.

There will not play in Regensburg: Ernst S. (Arm Injury) Meyer M. (Broken ankle) Ochojski N. (Injury) Saller B. (Groin Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.24	Karlsruher - Jahn Regensburg	4:2 ✺
08.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Jahn Regensburg	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.24	Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.24	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Hannover - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.01.23	Darmstadt - Jahn Regensburg	2:0
16.07.22	Jahn Regensburg - Darmstadt	2:0
19.12.21	Jahn Regensburg - Darmstadt	0:2
24.07.21	Darmstadt - Jahn Regensburg	0:2
30.01.21	Jahn Regensburg - Darmstadt	1:1
26.09.20	Darmstadt - Jahn Regensburg	0:0
06.06.20	Jahn Regensburg - Darmstadt	3:0

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