Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Instituto Córdoba		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.3	3	3.25
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.36	3.05	3.56
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.28	3.15	3.32	Watch
	2.36	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.47)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.32 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
40.5%

Draw
31.1%

Racing
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	34.8%	34.8%

Instituto Córdoba - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Racing will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 15.3% – 54.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 3. Corda S. 8. Graciani G. 10. Watson F. 14. Linares N. 19. Lodico G. A. 9. Adrian Martinez 11. Rodriguez S.	13. Tagliamonte M. (G) 34. Mura F. 33. Piovi G. 8. Galvan J. 35. Quiros S. 3. Rojas G. 11. Gomez J. 5. Nardoni J. 23. Oroz N. 15. Romero M. 7. Hauche G. (C)
Substitutes
30. Barrientos N. 12. Bay J. 5. Bochi R. 1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Cerato G. 20. Cuello B. 25. Garrido O. 24. Parnisiari E. 29. Rodriguez A. 7. Rodriguez G. 33. Varela J. 27. Watson N.	6. Aviles T. 31. Cabellos C. 24. Fertoli H. 48. Insua E. 42. Leon R. (G) 27. Moralez M. 29. Moreno A. 28. Perez T. 4. Pillud I. . 37. Rodriguez B. 39. Saliadarre E. D. 55. Vera S.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Gago F.

Preview

Instituto has the most likely position - 24 (7.87%), project points - 30, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Racing has the most likely position - 15 (7.38%), project points - 34, currently - 22, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, very small importance 0, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Instituto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Racing have a series of guest games.

Instituto will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Instituto: Bay J. (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Carbonero J. (Injury) Miranda L. (Injury) Vecchio E. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Copa Argentina
07.06.23	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.06.23	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	4:1 ✺
29.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
20.05.23	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
08.06.23	Flamengo - Racing	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.06.23	Racing - Banfield	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.05.23	SD Aucas - Racing	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.05.23	Platense - Racing	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTWL

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