Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Pluto TV, TyC Sports Internacional


	Flamengo		Racing

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	9	Watch
	1.34	4.45	9.8	Watch
	1.35	4.71	10.44
	1.50	3.76	7.58	Watch
	1.39	4.5	10.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.38 ↓ (4.48)	9.4 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
68.3%

Draw
21.6%

Racing
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

21%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

20.1%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Flamengo - Racing Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). Racing (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 7. Luiz Araujo 9. Pedro 15. Carrascal J.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 23. Colombo N. 6. Rojo M. 27. Rojas G. 13. Sosa S. (C) 36. Zuculini B. 32. Almendra A. E. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez 17. Conechny T.
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 27. Bruno Henrique 18. de la Cruz N. 22. Emerson Royal 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 3. Leo Ortiz 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 30. Michael 8. Niguez S. 50. Plata G. 16. Samuel Lino	21. Arias G. (G) 77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 34. Mura F. 5. Nardoni J. 19. Rodriguez I. 26. Sanchez R. 7. Vergara D. 10. Vietto L. 11. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
55', Luiz Araujo ↓, Plata G. ↑,
58', Sosa S. 🟨,
58', Rojas G. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
60', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
64', Almendra A. E. ↓, Nardoni J. ↑,
72', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
72', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
73', Zuculini B. 🟨,
83', Varela G. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
87', Adrian Martinez ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
87', Solari S. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Flamengo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.

In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Almendra A. E. (Inactive) Arias G. (Inactive) Forneris A. (Knee Injury) Mura F. (Inactive) Nardoni J. (Injury) Pardo F. (Muscle Injury) Rojas G. (Injury) Rojo M. (Inactive) Solari S. (Inactive) Sosa S. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Leo Ortiz (Injury) de la Cruz N. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.25	Flamengo - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Bahia - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.25	Racing - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Banfield - Racing	1:3 ✺
06.10.25	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.10.25	Racing - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.09.25	Racing - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.06.23	Flamengo - Racing	2:1
04.05.23	Racing - Flamengo	1:1
01.12.20	Flamengo - Racing	1:2 penalties
24.11.20	Racing - Flamengo	1:1

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