The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 26.2%
Draw 35.3%
Platense 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
34%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
33.4%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
2.8%
22.2%
75%
Sarmiento de Junín - Platense Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Platense will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 59.8% – 88.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Sarmiento (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Sarmiento (1.54) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Platense will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Platense (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (C) 44. Orihuela R. 14. Roncaglia F. 36. Morales S. 39. Godoy J. 28. Gho J. 25. Villalba C. 23. Gimenez E. 15. Suhr L. 10. Carabajal G. 18. Morales I.
31. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 6. Salomon O. 3. Silva T. 14. Picco L. 5. Herrera R. 7. Mainero G. 10. Taborda V. 77. Martinez R. 21. Lotti A.
Substitutes
6. Andrada J. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 22. Burgoa V. 33. Diaz G. 20. Frias F. 5. Garcia M. 24. Molina A. 8. Paradela F. 30. Renteria J. 34. Seyral A. 17. Vallejos J.
32. Baldassarra F. 24. Barros Schelotto B. 1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Elizalde E. 8. Juarez F. 29. Minerva F. 36. Orsini N. 2. Pignani J. 23. Roldan E. 26. Schor I. 19. Toloza S. 11. Zapiola F.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.
Orsi F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Saborido J. 🟨,
30', Herrera R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saborido J. ↓, Barros Schelotto B. ↑,
46', Herrera R. ↓, Juarez F. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Mainero G. ⚽, Martinez R. (A),
58', Carabajal G. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
59', Orihuela R. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
59', Gimenez E. ↓, Vallejos J. ↑,
65', Taborda V. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
67', Silva T. 🟨,
70', Suhr L. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
73', Martinez R. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
79', Godoy J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
79', Villalba C. 🟨,
83', Lotti A. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
90+4', Zapiola F. 🟨,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 1.
Recent matches Sarmiento is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Platense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Platense will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sarmiento: Andrada J.
(Inactive)
Insaurralde J.
(Yellow Cards)
Magnin P.
(Inactive)
Monaco M.
(Inactive)
Vigo A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Platense: Bay J.
(Knee Injury)
Cervera T.
(Muscle Injury)
Goni G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Sarmiento: Morales I.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.4:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).